Is Christianity Growing Or Declining

Is Christianity Growing Or Declining – Christianity has been at the forefront of political and social debate in the country for centuries – but new research suggests this may be changing.

A new report from the Pew Research Center and the General Social Survey released Tuesday found that the number of people who believe in Christianity in America is declining. Religious demographics have declined since the 1990s, the report says, as more adults transition to atheist, agnostic or “nothing” identities.

Is Christianity Growing Or Declining

In the early 1990s, about 90% of people in the US identified as Christian, the report said. In 2020, Christians make up about 64% of the US population, including children. Meanwhile, people with no religious affiliation increased from 16% in 2007 to 30% in 2020, according to the survey. All other religions, including Judaism, Islam, Hinduism, and Buddhism, accounted for about 6% in 2020.

America’s Empty Church Problem

As recently as the early 1990s, approximately 90% of American adults identified as Christians. In 2007 this share was 78%. Today, that number is down to 64%. Since 2007, the percentage of adults who identify as religious “none” has increased from 16% to 29%. 6/ — Pew Research Center (@pewresearch) September 13, 2022

Pew and the GSS are working together to analyze how these numbers will change if the Christian decline accelerates or stalls, and how other demographic trends, including immigration and death and dying rates, will affect of the results. The researchers looked only at religious identity, rather than religious beliefs and practices.

Four possible scenarios are considered: constant percentage of people coming and going to Christianity; The number of people with no religious affiliation is decreasing while the percentage of Christians who have left their religion is increasing. As before but more than 50% of Christians did not change their identity. And a scenario where nobody changes their religion.

The Pew researcher tweeted, “Based on the future of religious conversions, people who identify as atheists, agnostics, or ‘no one in particular’ will be the largest (non-religious) population in America in our life.” Groups can be formed.”

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In all scenarios, even if no one changes their religion in the coming decades, the number of non-religious people is expected to reach or exceed the number of Christians by 2070, the report saying.

The researchers say that none of the models assume that the number of Christian faiths is increasing, because they are based on “the current dynamics that shape the religious landscape”. Dramatic events such as armed conflict, social movements or the rise of authoritarianism can cause social and religious unrest, he said.

In all four primary scenarios, religiously unaffiliated Americans are expected to approach or exceed the number of Christians by 2070. Pew Research Center

In a steady-state scenario — which typically occurs among 15- to 29-year-olds — Christians could lose their majority rank by 2070, although the demographic is still the largest religious group in US.

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The report states, “If the turnover of young Americans continues at recent rates, the number of Christians will decline by a few percentage points every decade, falling below 50% by 2060.”

Researchers say that a decade later, in 2070, Christians in the US will comprise 46 percent while the number of seculars will increase to 41 percent.

If leaving Christianity becomes more popular, but no more than 50% of the demographic leaves the institute, the religion will again lose its rank as the majority – and largest group – to 39%. Conversely, people who do not identify with any religion make up the largest religious group, at 48% in the US.

The report found that if the number of Christians who leave increases every generation by the age of 30 and there is no limit to the number of people who leave, Christianity will lose majority status in 23 years – in 2045. In 2070, 52% of people in the US have no religion, while only 35% will become Christians under this scenario.

Signs Of Decline & Hope Among Key Metrics Of Faith

There is only one scenario where Christians remain in their religious majority until 2070 – a scenario where no one changes their religion after 2020.

“But even in this hypothetical situation, the religious composition of the U.S. population continue to fluctuate slowly,” the report says, “mainly as a result of Christians being older than other groups, and single young people, with one child born.” Most of their population is of working age.’

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If this happens, Christianity will decline by 10 percent by 2070. But as Pew says, this position is “unrealistic.”

Young Americans today are less likely to become or remain Christians and more likely to become or remain unaffiliated. Pew Research Center

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“The change is not over and there is no reason to believe that it will stop suddenly,” the researchers said. “… even if fewer future young adults convert from Christianity to non-believers, or if the movement grows in the opposite direction, the religious landscape of the future will resemble the consequences of this projection .”

If recent generational trends continue, the most likely scenario is number 2 – if Christianity declines but there is a threshold of 50% to leave, the researchers said.

Lee Cohen is a social media producer and emerging reporter for CBS News focusing on social justice issues. Religiosity in the United States is in the midst of what has been called “The Great Decline”. The past decline of religion does not compare favorably. In the past fifteen years, the decline in religiosity has been twice as large as the decline in the 1960s and 1970s.

How do we track this great change in American religion? We start with information from rigorous, scientific research about worship participation, church attendance, prayer, and feelings about religion. We then used a computer algorithm to track more than 400 survey results over the past 60 years. The result was a measure that changed the chart of religiosity for years. (You can check all the details here).

Religion: Why Faith Is Becoming More And More Popular

The graph of this index tells the story of the rise and fall of religious movements. During the post-war boom of the 1950s, there was a religious revival. In fact, at the time some people considered it the Third Great Awakening. This was followed by social changes in the 1960s, which included the questioning of religious institutions. The resulting decline in religion halted in the late 1970s, when religiosity remained stable. However, in the last fifteen years, religion has declined again. But this decline was faster than the decline in the 1960s and 1970s. Church attendance and prayer are few. The number of people without religion is increasing. Fewer people say that religion is an important part of their lives. All measures show the same decline in religion: if the 1950s was another Great Awakening, this was the Great Decline.

Geek Note: Since the index is a combination of different metrics with different scales, the index built algorithm does not have a specific scale. In this graph, the average level for the time period is shown. Above the graph are two standard deviations from the mean. The floor is three standard deviations below the mean. The difference between two points can be compared to the difference between two other points, for example, the difference between the late 1960s and 1980s is about 1.5 standard deviations short, but between the late 1990s and 2012 The difference is approximately three standard deviations apart.

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